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Mismatched graph creates confusion in Canada's UN climate pledge

Updated with response from Environment Canada, and details of new assessments of Canada's INDC by other organisations.

Canada has submitted its intended contribution to the UN's forthcoming climate deal, but its new target has done little to remedy its reputation as a climate laggard.

On Friday, prime minister Stephen Harper's Conservative government pledged to cut emissions 30% on 2005 levels by 2030, as part of its intended nationally determined contribution (INDC) ahead of the 2015 agreement, which will be signed in Paris.

The document states:

"This target is ambitious but achievable. It represents a substantial reduction from Canada's business-as-usual emissions."

But the target prompted an outpouring of disappointment from NGOs, who say that the target compared unfavourably with other developed countries that have also submitted their contributions.

While the EU has pledged to reduce emissions 40% below 1990 levels, Canada's target actually represents a 6% increase if this is taken as the baseline.

Meanwhile the US has pledged a 26-28% reduction by 2025 on 2005 levels. Analysts from the World Resources Institute wrote:

For the complete article, please see CarbonBrief Blog.